GALLUP: OBAMA LEAD STEADY AT FIVE POINTS

47 to 42. (Gallup) But this has Lanny Davis worried. He wrote “Sen. Obama has rarely, if ever, won more than 47 or 48 percent of the general electorate. That apparent ceiling, at least so far, should be worrisome to the Obama senior strategists and probably has been noted. It is reminiscent of both John Kerry’s and Al Gore's polling numbers versus George Bush. The historical pattern in 2000 and 2004, and even back to 1980 and 1988, has been that in the closing days, often literally the last weekend, Republican moderate conservative undecideds and Democratic social conservatives (the "Reagan Democrats") who up to then have been soft for the Democratic candidate or undecided break disproportionately for the more conservative Republican candidate.” (The Hill)